Not gonna provide any more PI deets but I saw an AMA on a Saudi Arabian girl and I like the idea :)

Lets learn and have some laughs, my dish is your command 🧞‍♂️

  • saigot@lemmy.ca
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    15 days ago

    A certainty.

    Liberals have been in power for a decade at this point (5th-6th longest term in history depending on when exactly the election happens), and have picked up a ton of baggage, from corruption scandals (some more manufactured than others) , oil pipeline flubs that left everyone mad, blackface scandal, political interference, broken promises of electoral reform, even a divorce. They currently hang on to an extremely weak minority with the NDP. The only reason there hasn’t already been an election is that the NDP is too broke to put up a real fight.

    Anyone right of centre will literally foam at the mouth at the mention of Trudeau, anyone left of centre is disappointed and disinterested. The NDP is likely to pick up seats, but they have never held power and the current leader is seen as pretty weak, they don’t stand a good chance of gaining power.

    the conservative party is polling with a 20point lead right now, look at this map. Furthermore they have been taking a hard right turn over the last few years to avoid losing out to a far-right party that has emerged, the new leader poilievre is a populist and the furthest right I have ever seen a viable Canadian candidate. He’s also french speaking, which has traditionally been a strength of the liberals and weakness of the CPC. He is actively campaigning on reducing trans folks (and especially trans children) access to healthcare, ending the carbon tax, reducing immigration and has been dog whistling hard about restricting abortion.

    The question is not If he takes power, but rather how quickly we can rebuild left wing power and how much can we mitigate the damage. Personally I hope Greens pick up a few seats, liberals get their shit together within a year and no-confidence Mr.PP. He mostly won’t be winning because he’s popular but rather his opponents are politically radioactive.

    • kent_eh@lemmy.ca
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      15 days ago

      Hopefully we can limit PP to a minority government so he can’t do too much damage.

      • saigot@lemmy.ca
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        14 days ago

        that’d be a huge pull, but if it were to happen we’d probably end up with a very exciting 5-way split which would be quite exciting (and probably extremely unstable). if ABC voters can heavily coordinate AND PP says a bunch of quiet stuff out loud then it could happen.

    • ravhall
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      15 days ago

      Oh, it’s all over. By the end of his 4 years, he will just choose to stay and elect his replacement. Voting is done.

      • saigot@lemmy.ca
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        14 days ago

        I’m not entirely sure what you mean by “voting is done” but I think our parliamentary system is somewhat more resistant to systemic fuckery than the US system.

        I don’t mean we are invincible, but 1 conservative term is not going to end democracy in Canada.