• RunawayFixer@lemmy.world
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    5 hours ago

    What those statistics do not take into account is the different incidence rates of men/women being out alone at night.

    Because women feel more afraid going out into the dark alone, they’re less likely to do so, creating less opportunities for them to be robbed/raped/killed.

    To make an analogy:
    What are my chances to drown in the sea if I never go swimming in the sea? 0% chance.
    What if I go swimming once a week, with a risk of drowning of 0.5% each time I do so: then there’s ~23% chance that I’ll drown by the end of the year.
    What if go swimming twice a year, but because I’m such an amateur the chance that I drown is 5%: there is ~10% chance that I drown by the end of the year.

    Conclusion: even though it is 10x more dangerous for the inexperienced swimmer to go swimming in the sea, in a given year the experienced swimmer is still 2.3 times more likely to drown in the sea than the inexperienced one.