That was always true. Remember when Putin was rolling in to “denazify” Ukraine at the beginning of the invasion? Russia’s propaganda apparatus labels literally everything they don’t like as Nazis or fascists. Between that and the tanks around Kyiv, it is clear what was happening.
I’ve explained my rationale for why I did not think Russia would go to war in Ukraine. As most people, I thought a conflict would be too costly and Russia could get what they wanted through diplomatic ways. Clearly that wasn’t the case. I’m not sure why people think this is such a gotcha. We all make analysis based on the information available, and nobody has a crystal ball that predicts the future perfectly.
Right. I didn’t think Russia was going to invade either. But it’s still a fair crit. I was wrong. I admit I was wrong. You might consider it an opportunity for self reflection.
As I’ve already said, I was wrong about my predictions based on the information available to me and my understanding of the geopolitical situation. I’m not sure what else you’re saying I’m supposed to self reflect on. Nobody can predict the future accurately, there are always variables that aren’t visible to us.
That was always true. Remember when Putin was rolling in to “denazify” Ukraine at the beginning of the invasion? Russia’s propaganda apparatus labels literally everything they don’t like as Nazis or fascists. Between that and the tanks around Kyiv, it is clear what was happening.
Yogthos before Feb 2022: Russia is not going to invade Ukraine
Yogthos now: Russia cannot leave Ukraine
you ok?
Seems like a fair crit.
I’ve explained my rationale for why I did not think Russia would go to war in Ukraine. As most people, I thought a conflict would be too costly and Russia could get what they wanted through diplomatic ways. Clearly that wasn’t the case. I’m not sure why people think this is such a gotcha. We all make analysis based on the information available, and nobody has a crystal ball that predicts the future perfectly.
Right. I didn’t think Russia was going to invade either. But it’s still a fair crit. I was wrong. I admit I was wrong. You might consider it an opportunity for self reflection.
As I’ve already said, I was wrong about my predictions based on the information available to me and my understanding of the geopolitical situation. I’m not sure what else you’re saying I’m supposed to self reflect on. Nobody can predict the future accurately, there are always variables that aren’t visible to us.
Yes but you might consider that there are things not visible to you now. You tend to be quite strident on geopolitical discussions.