For me it feels like this is pre ai/cryptocurrency bubble pop. But with luck (as the maga gov infusions of both fail, and actually quicken the downfall (Musk/Trump like it so it must be iffy), if we are lucky). Sadly it will not be like the downfall of enron, as this is all very distributed, so I fear how much will be pulled under).
I’d assume that is very intentional, nominative determinism is one of those things a lot of LW style people like. (Scott Alexander being a big one, which has some really iffy implications (which I fully think is a coincidence btw)).
It wasn’t really done that much during the era when Scott A was called the new leader of lesswrong so not sure if it has increased again. I assume a lot still do, as I assume a lot also pretend to have read it. Never looked into any stats, or if those stats are public. I know they put them all on a specific site in 2015. (https://www.readthesequences.com/) The bibliography is a treat (esp as it starts with pop sci books, and a SSC blog post, but also: “Banks, Iain. The Player of Games. Orbit, 1989.”, and not one but 3 of the Doc EE Smith lensmen books).
I did a quick search on Ribbonfarm (I couldn’t recall what his blog was called quickly) myself. And see how much I had forgotten, it should have been called meta-rationality, and yes, insight porn, that was the term. (linking to two posts where ribbonfarm/this stuff was discussed).
E: Sad feels when you click on a name in the sub from years ago and see them now being a full blast AI bro.
The CAPTCHA failed to load properly for me at first, and then was mega slow. Quality custom implementation of a (wrapper around a) CAPTCHA, millions of EA money well spent.
We talked about that on r/sneerclub in the past, can’t recall the specific consensus. Seems post-rational, has innovation on rationalism from binary ‘object vs meta’ to 2x2 grids.
Instead of increasing the capabilities of llms a lot of work is done in the field of downplaying human capabilities to make llms look better in comparison. You would assume that the ‘be aware of biasses, and learn to think rationally’ place would notice this trap. But nope, nobody reads the sequences anymore. (E: for the people not in the know, the sequences is the Rationalist bible written by Yud (extremely verbose, the new bits are not good and the good bits are not new) used here as a joke, reading it (and saying you should) used to be part of the cultic milieu of LW).
AI is going to wreck the world without even being asked to turn things into paperclips. Just giving all coders out of the loop performance problems.
Ow look the thing I worried about on r/scc (yes I know my own fault for touching it) which could not happen ‘because you dont understand how llms work’ happend.
Tuckers quest for a second facial expression continues. The help he got from Ben Stiller turned out to be not effective at all.
Yeah, he seems more neonazi than nrx to me, that and lashing out towards people who he imagines wronged him. The FAA for example cancelled a contract with him to do some starlink stuff because it was unreliable and slow (approved under trump, cancelled under biden) USAID was investigating him etc. His doge goons are nrx and dismantling everything using AI and dumb regexps, but his focus seems very personal. (Not that it matters as both the neonazis and nrx are bad, delenda est, and they have no trouble working together (so far, the backlash when it all fails is going to be interesting. Musk is already on his default ‘shit is going bad’ moves. Which is trying to change the way the metrics are calculated so you cant notice the fraud. (His GDP bs))).
E: the nazi memes thing, reminds me of the fear of ‘the left’ cancelling classical literature thing. Which in 99% of the cases turned out to be things like, some random science fiction book, which was changed by the publishers/author/their estate, and the thing changed was the removal of slurs or just iffyly racist chapters.
Was this the Musk and Rogan episode where Musk revealed a powerful new Grok ability? (It can now say shit and fuck) and laughed really oddly about it?
Also, despite following LW style people (he follow(s/ed) slatestarcodex on twitter), he again shows that he doesn’t understand the LW fears of AGI. Worrying about a woke nanny AGI, and not the woke wirehead AGI (wireheading being a lot scarier).
Padishah Emperor Shaddam IV: “This is genocide! The systematic extermination of all life on Arrakis!”
Pinker emerges from a sietch water basin “Achtually, while using the juice of Sapho I shape rotated many graphs and …”
It is from 2018 (also pre Nathans capitalist class consciousness reveal arc iirc) wonder what Pinker actually said during covid.
Moving up in the world. At least Pinhead takes people sightseeing.
The debt doesnt have to be unusual, esp when the projected profits on the debt is less than the money they pay in interest on it. So somebody with actual expertise about the context in which softbank operates and the specific nature of the debt should be able to tell of it is strange or not. Doubt we have that expertise here.
Jewish people fought back in the ghettos, nazis didnt do a genocide! Ghandi, by not fighting back tricked the Brits into doing a genocide.
What a fucked up broken classification.
E: im also reminded of the ‘armed/unarmed’ trick american racists pull, when a poc gets killed by the cops suddenly it matters a lot if a weapon shaped object was perhaps nearby. Despite this not being an executable reason for white people who get in touch with the police.
E2: also small annoyance if you track all definitions you should he able to understand that this means that for others who pick a different definition it is a genocide. Hell I can give several definitions of fascism, and if I were to pick a different definition of some group doesnt mean im correct, nor does it make the group less bad. They are still doing war crimes and ethnic cleansings (condemned by all big human rights orgs and the UN). But thanks for scientificly proving it is impossible to disappear into nothing by crawling up your own ass.
E3: A quick skim of the paper, it seems to only talk about genocide accusations towards Israel itself. I expected there to be a long list of European bs accusations of Jewish genocide. But nope, just about the state. (Not saying that some of those accusations aren’t antisemitic, because there have certainly been people who used the state as a motte/bailey for their antisemitism).
Minor nitpick why did he pick dam as an example, which sometimes have ‘leaks’ for power generation/water regulation reasons. And not dikes which do not have those things?
E: non serious (or even less serious) amusing nitpick, this is only the 2% where it got caught. What about the % where GPT realized that it was being tested and decided not to act in the experimental conditions? What if Skynet is already here?
It’s going down wrote an article on Doge, Trump and the NRx.
This kind of stuff, which seems to hit a lot harder than the anti trump stuff, makes me feel that a vance presidency would implode quite quickly due to other maga toadies trying to backstab toadkid here.