• @PeggyLouBaldwin@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    -41 month ago

    it’s unprovable what might happen if a vote, known to have been cast one way, were cast some other way. this is known as a “counterfactual” and they are, tautologically, unprovable.

    • partial_accumen
      link
      fedilink
      51 month ago

      it’s unprovable what might happen if a vote, known to have been cast one way, were cast some other way.

      Oh really?

      Scenario 1: Baseline

      • candidate A receives 10 votes
      • candidate B receives 9 votes
      • Outcome: Candidate A wins under plurality

      Scenario 2: Two voters for Candidate A are convinced not to vote (non-vote) or vote for a candidate other than A or B

      • candidate A receives 8 votes
      • candidate B receives 9 votes
      • Outcome: Candidate B wins under plurality

      Proof enough?

      • @PeggyLouBaldwin@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        -41 month ago

        under what circumstances can you claim that two voters would vote differently, but nothing else would change? given that the circumstances changed enough for them to make a different decision, we must conclude that we don’t know enough about the fictional alternate reality to guess at the outcome.

        • partial_accumen
          link
          fedilink
          51 month ago

          indicates to me that you are detached from reality.

          And finally, after exhausting any logical defense, you arrive at ad hominem attacks! Thanks for playing have a good day!