Ukraine is seriously considering the possibility of restoring nuclear weapons. This is reported by Bild with reference to a source.

“We have the materials, we have the knowledge. If there is an order, it will only take us a few weeks to get the first bomb,” said a Ukrainian official.

And Western countries should think less about Russia’s red lines and much more about Ukraine’s red lines.

According to analyst Julian Repke, a condition for restoring the nuclear weapons Ukraine has surrendered could be a second attempt by the Russian Federation to go after Kyiv.

  • Shdwdrgn@mander.xyz
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    154
    ·
    1 month ago

    Didn’t Ukraine give up its nukes specifically under the condition that Russia would leave them alone as a free independent nation? Seems those terms went out the window years ago.

    • Fosheze@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      84
      ·
      1 month ago

      Exactly. That treaty was already violated. So there is no longer any treaty preventing them from becomming a nuclear power again.

      • Shdwdrgn@mander.xyz
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        35
        ·
        1 month ago

        I’m surprised it took them this long to even threaten the idea, although it could simply be that they already built some weapons to have a stockpile before the announcement. I can totally see Putin thinking “oh they only have one bomb, that’s an acceptable loss to stop them from building more before we have another MAD stalemate.”

    • GBU_28@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      18
      ·
      1 month ago

      Yes and that exchange has been observed by the whole world. I doubt we will ever see one like it again

      • RubberDuck@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        22
        ·
        1 month ago

        Anyone that gives up all of their nukes is nuts… as demonstrated by the Ukraine case.

        You might limit the amount, how many do you really need … not thousands… that’s expensive anyway.

        With this message I would not be surprised if in some underground mining complex Ukraine has centrifuges being installed already.

        • GBU_28@lemm.ee
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          9
          ·
          1 month ago

          Well they claim they have what they need already.

          Unknown if that’s for a dirty bomb or a true nuclear fission weapon

          • RubberDuck@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            11
            ·
            1 month ago

            They have ballistic missiles and plenty of nuclear materials. If the nuclear materials are weapons grade is doubtfull but not impossible

            • bluGill@fedia.io
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              3
              ·
              1 month ago

              Producing weapons grade nuclear materials isn’t that difficult. Iran is believed to only need a few weeks if they want to. (IRAN has known stock piles of just below weapons, but well above power plant grade Uranium). Many of us could probably do it in our basement if we could get our hands on enough Uranium. (there are a number of ways to die a painful death doing this as most people work in their basement, but we could probably get enough to produce a bomb before we died). With the knowledge anyone has and Ukraine’s current nuclear power plants and thus nuclear knowledge it is reasonable to assume they could get the weapons grade nuclear material if they really wanted.

              • RubberDuck@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                2
                ·
                1 month ago

                Yeah, and I read that the byproduct of nuclear power generation is plutonium which can also be used as a Hiroshima style nuclear weapon, not in the megaton range but probably enough to get the point across.

          • CheeseNoodle@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            3
            ·
            1 month ago

            I mean refinining is the hard part, Actually assembling a gun-type nuclear device is rather simple by the standards of modern technology.

        • captainlezbian@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          1 month ago

          They aren’t even the only country to do it that’s currently in serious conflict with a nuclear power. Canada did it and now has pulled all diplomats from India.

      • 2pt_perversion@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        22
        ·
        edit-2
        1 month ago

        That is not what the Budapest Memorandum says. It’s really short so you can just read it but it only requires the US to bring the matter to the UN security counsel which they have. Russia has violated most provisions but the US hasn’t violated any.

      • Shdwdrgn@mander.xyz
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        5
        ·
        1 month ago

        Ah I wasn’t aware of that part of the deal. I wonder if they’re threatening nukes because they’re getting nervous that Trump might get re-elected and not honor that deal?

        • Madison420@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          12
          ·
          1 month ago

          They’re threatening to build nukes because they have nukes, I believe both France and Israel came out as nuclear nations in the same “we’ll just float becoming a nuclear nation and see what happens.”

          There’s still Soviet nuclear material missing and Ukraine has both mines and the know how to assemble older nukes anyway because that was done to some extent in Ukraine during the Soviet Union.

  • trslim@pawb.social
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    82
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    1 month ago

    As much as I hate to see nuclear proliferation, Russia hasnt really given Ukraine much choice in the matter, seeing that Russia is willing to invade any non-nuclear states around it.

  • atro_city@fedia.io
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    29
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    1 month ago

    Do it. It could neutralize the threats from Russia about dropping nuclear bombs. It might be the only to get the scaredy-cats in Western Europe to agree to long-range weapons since Russia’s threats would be quite useless.

    • Valmond@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      7
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      edit-2
      1 month ago

      Long range weapons and more weapons too.

      One can hope.

      Edit: BTW the image looks like a screenshot from C&C lol

    • Comment105@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      24
      ·
      1 month ago

      They’re right to do it.

      Russia proved to the world that every single promise made for nuclear non-proliferation is a lie, and the only way to deter an empire remains “be fucking dangerous”.

      It’s very fucking sad and we’re committing to MADness harder than ever because of Putin and Russian dumbass hardass culture.

      Russian men are to blame for wanting all this, demanding it, fighting for it instead of against it.

      It seems entirely possible to me that Russia decides to preemptively nuke Ukraine to prevent them from getting their own, and at that point either the US decides it’s not worth retaliating for them, or the end of the world is ordered … but even if that happens, I just don’t care. Reason and stability are forfeit and before we get people back on board, before we get Russians back to it, I wouldn’t be surprised if there has to be close calls where everything might go wrong and never get another chance to be resolved. But I’ve lived my whole life with the nuclear threat and the doomsday clock strongly defining everything that ever happened in my life as borrowed time, permitted by empires withholding global annihilation. I’ve come to fucking accept it a long time ago. The cultural impact of nuclear doomsday threats on widespread nihilism seems obvious. And in my mind it’s just fucking fitting that stupid humans should choose to fuck eachother completely over and be left with nothing to lord over. Going into it knowing that and being fine with it because at least the enemy is also obliterated, poisoned, and doomed. Humans are just like that. We’re angry idiots and a lot of us deserve that kind of end. If going interstellar was ever a distant potential, it might even be for the best that we don’t bring our bullshit outside Earth’s cradle. It seems insane to me that anyone could not be feeling misanthropic after the failures of the hopes built up in the late 80’s.

      • Vilian@lemmy.ca
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        6
        ·
        1 month ago

        You need to understand that Putin is only ordering a nuclear strike as the last option for him to stay in power, because after that he knows that is only a matter of time before someone kill him, what can happen is Russia backing out and he pray for the population to not rebel against him, and to be fair, Russians don’t give a fuck so that would happen

      • captainlezbian@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        1 month ago

        It’s not just the US. Nuclear launches any nuclear power allied with Ukraine could fire. My bets are actually on France or the UK

  • Skeezix@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    15
    arrow-down
    5
    ·
    1 month ago

    Looks like roasted orc is back on the menu boys.

    Seriously though, I doubt Ukraine would turn their own land into a radioactive wasteland. Which means they would fling them into russia. Which would escalate things

  • YeetPics@mander.xyz
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    15
    arrow-down
    7
    ·
    edit-2
    1 month ago

    Fuck it, three years of lil’ putin’s failed invasion and thousands of tankies being downvoted into a red paste we have to hose out of the square (lmao, see what I did there), nuke 'em.

    That’s what they want, a bloody war to appease the 5’6" neofuhrer.

    Let’s oblige.

    • nednobbins@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      4
      ·
      1 month ago

      That’s a brilliant plan. Nuclear armed countries generally have a policy of “live and let live” once they get nuked so that should work out great.

      • YeetPics@mander.xyz
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        arrow-down
        1
        ·
        1 month ago

        Live and let live… man that sounds stellar.

        Probably why Russia made an agreement with Ukraine in 2014 regarding nuclear disarmament on the condition Russia let Ukraine live and let live.

        How did that go? Russia (as always) negotiated in bad faith.

        • nednobbins@lemm.ee
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          1 month ago

          I’m not arguing that Russia is trustworthy. I’m saying that nuclear retaliation is a standard policy for any nuclear power.

          We’d be relying on an other Stanislav Petrov to save us. I don’t like those odds.

  • MouseKeyboard@ttrpg.network
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    6
    arrow-down
    8
    ·
    1 month ago

    Ukrainian nuclear weapons aren’t a credible threat to Russia, for the same reason Russia’s aren’t to Ukraine: It isn’t under an immediate threat of being wiped out, just losing territory. I think this is aimed more at the United States, trying to pressure them into keeping up or increasing aid with the threat of nuclear proliferation (as Japan, Taiwan and Saudi Arabia have done). There is also the possibility that in a Trump administration, loss of US aid could turn the war back into an existential threat where nuclear weapons could be used.

    • barsoap@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      14
      ·
      edit-2
      1 month ago

      To threaten Russia all you need to do is threaten Moscow and Petersburg. The rest of the country doesn’t exist as far as power structures are concerned.

      • MouseKeyboard@ttrpg.network
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        1 month ago

        I assume people decided it had the vibe of accusing Ukraine of being underhanded (it’s not, but internet gonna internet)

  • Vilian@lemmy.ca
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    2
    arrow-down
    5
    ·
    1 month ago

    They have the capabilities?, they have nuclear power tho, but that’s a not of money required

  • RubberDuck@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    1
    arrow-down
    10
    ·
    1 month ago

    With the amount of nuclear reactors they have any actual nuke will for sure be answered with dirty bombs.